The outcome rated most likely (a Villarreal win, 60%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Valencia
VillarrealVillarreal comes out on top in most scenarios (60% win rate), but Valencia finds a way in 17% of simulations. Villarreal frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 16:51 (UK time).
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