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FC Augsburg vs Union Berlin prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: FC Augsburg 1 – 1 Union Berlin

The model gave a draw only 14%. At 14%, an outcome happens about 14 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

FC Augsburg
VS
Union Berlin
FC Augsburg win
78%
Draw
14%
Union Berlin win
8%
Expected goals
3.0 – 0.9
Expected shots
17 – 16

Match analysis

FC Augsburg dominates this matchup: 78% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 8% for Union Berlin. FC Augsburg frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 61% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 14:21 (UK time).

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