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Rayo Vallecano vs Elche prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (UK time)

Final score: Rayo Vallecano 0 – 3 Elche

The model gave a Elche win only 19%. At 19%, an outcome happens about 19 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Rayo Vallecano
VS
Elche
Rayo Vallecano win
57%
Draw
24%
Elche win
19%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.0
Expected shots
17 – 12

Match analysis

Rayo Vallecano comes out on top in most scenarios (57% win rate), but Elche finds a way in 19% of simulations. Rayo Vallecano frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 12:21 (UK time).

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