The model gave a Rodez win only 14%. At 14%, an outcome happens about 14 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Dijon
RodezDijon dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 14% for Rodez. Dijon frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 54% of runs).
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 12:21 (UK time).
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