Bundesliga · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
Union Berlin
VS
SV Elversberg
Union Berlin win
23%
Draw
25%
SV Elversberg win
52%
Expected goals
1.5 – 2.1
Expected shots
10 – 18
Match analysis
SV Elversberg comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Union Berlin finds a way in 23% of simulations. SV Elversberg frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).