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Genoa vs Fiorentina prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Genoa
VS
Fiorentina
Genoa win
29%
Draw
28%
Fiorentina win
43%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.9
Expected shots
13 – 19

Match analysis

Fiorentina holds a real edge (43% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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