Bundesliga · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)
FC Augsburg
VS
Bayern München
FC Augsburg win
8%
Draw
18%
Bayern München win
74%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.6
Expected shots
5 – 25
Match analysis
Bayern München dominates this matchup: 74% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 8% for FC Augsburg. Bayern München frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 56% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).