FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

FSV Mainz 05

VS

Bayer Leverkusen

FSV Mainz 05 win

22%

Draw

27%

Bayer Leverkusen win

51%

Match analysis

Bayer Leverkusen comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but FSV Mainz 05 finds a way in 22% of simulations. Bayer Leverkusen frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 41% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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