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1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

1899 Hoffenheim
VS
Hamburger SV
1899 Hoffenheim win
69%
Draw
19%
Hamburger SV win
12%
Expected goals
2.8 – 1.3
Expected shots
25 – 10

Match analysis

1899 Hoffenheim dominates this matchup: 69% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 12% for Hamburger SV. 1899 Hoffenheim frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 59% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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