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Türkiye vs France prediction

Nations League · Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Türkiye
VS
France
Türkiye win
51%
Draw
27%
France win
22%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.3
Expected shots
17 – 17

Match analysis

Türkiye comes out on top in most scenarios (51% win rate), but France finds a way in 22% of simulations. Türkiye frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 13:15 (UK time).

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