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Armenia vs Latvia prediction

Nations League · Friday, 25 September 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Armenia
VS
Latvia
Armenia win
20%
Draw
29%
Latvia win
51%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.7
Expected shots
7 – 14

Match analysis

Latvia comes out on top in most scenarios (50% win rate), but Armenia finds a way in 20% of simulations. Latvia frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 40% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 13:15 (UK time).

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