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Sweden vs Romania prediction

Nations League · Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Sweden
VS
Romania
Sweden win
47%
Draw
29%
Romania win
24%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Expected shots
11 – 16

Match analysis

Sweden holds a real edge (47% vs 24%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (30%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 13:15 (UK time).

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