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Montenegro vs Cyprus prediction

Nations League · Friday, 25 September 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Montenegro
VS
Cyprus
Montenegro win
15%
Draw
24%
Cyprus win
61%
Expected goals
1.1 – 2.2
Expected shots
12 – 16

Match analysis

Cyprus comes out on top in most scenarios (61% win rate), but Montenegro finds a way in 15% of simulations. Cyprus frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 50% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 21 September at 13:15 (UK time).

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