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Toulouse vs Estac Troyes prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Toulouse 0 – 0 Estac Troyes

The model gave a draw only 23%. At 23%, an outcome happens about 23 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Toulouse
VS
Estac Troyes
Toulouse win
48%
Draw
23%
Estac Troyes win
29%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.5
Expected shots
14 – 15

Match analysis

Toulouse holds a real edge (48% vs 28%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (23%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 15:21 (UK time).

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