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Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Crystal Palace 0 – 2 Newcastle

The model gave a Newcastle win only 32%. At 32%, an outcome happens about 32 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Crystal Palace
VS
Newcastle
Crystal Palace win
43%
Draw
25%
Newcastle win
32%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.5
Expected shots
9 – 18

Match analysis

Crystal Palace holds a real edge (43% vs 32%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 13:51 (UK time).

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