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Manchester United vs Bournemouth prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Manchester United 0 – 3 Bournemouth

The model gave a Bournemouth win only 26%. At 26%, an outcome happens about 26 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Manchester United
VS
Bournemouth
Manchester United win
48%
Draw
26%
Bournemouth win
26%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.2
Expected shots
12 – 18

Match analysis

Manchester United holds a real edge (48% vs 26%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 13:51 (UK time).

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