Premier League · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Final score: Liverpool 2 – 0 Brighton
The model gave a Liverpool win only 24%. At 24%, an outcome happens about 24 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Liverpool
VS
Brighton
Liverpool win
24%
Draw
24%
Brighton win
52%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.8
Expected shots
13 – 17
Match analysis
Brighton comes out on top in most scenarios (52% win rate), but Liverpool finds a way in 24% of simulations.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 13:51 (UK time).