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Inter vs Fiorentina prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 11:30 (UK time)

Final score: Inter 2 – 1 Fiorentina

The outcome rated most likely (a Inter win, 83%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Inter
VS
Fiorentina
Inter win
83%
Draw
11%
Fiorentina win
6%
Expected goals
3.5 – 1.0
Expected shots
24 – 9

Match analysis

Inter dominates this matchup: 83% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 6% for Fiorentina. Inter frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 66% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 10:51 (UK time).

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