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Genoa vs Venezia prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Final score: Genoa 1 – 0 Venezia

The model gave a Genoa win only 29%. At 29%, an outcome happens about 29 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Genoa
VS
Venezia
Genoa win
29%
Draw
26%
Venezia win
45%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.7
Expected shots
14 – 18

Match analysis

Venezia holds a real edge (45% vs 29%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (26%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 13:51 (UK time).

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