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Switzerland vs Slovenia prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Switzerland
VS
Slovenia
Switzerland win
79%
Draw
16%
Slovenia win
5%
Expected goals
2.5 – 0.6
Expected shots
24 – 5

Match analysis

Switzerland dominates this matchup: 79% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Slovenia. Switzerland frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 64% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 26 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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