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Spain vs Czechia prediction

Nations League · Saturday, 3 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Spain
VS
Czechia
Spain win
84%
Draw
12%
Czechia win
4%
Expected goals
2.9 – 0.7
Expected shots
25 – 6

Match analysis

Spain dominates this matchup: 84% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for Czechia. Spain frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 69% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 26 September at 01:10 (UK time).

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