Premier League · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)
Final score: Sunderland 0 – 0 Leeds
The model gave a draw only 27%. At 27%, an outcome happens about 27 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Sunderland
VS
Leeds
Sunderland win
38%
Draw
27%
Leeds win
35%
Expected goals
1.4 – 1.3
Expected shots
14 – 17
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Sunderland and Leeds finish within a few points of each other (38% vs 35%), with the draw at 28%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 15:51 (UK time).