Premier League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Sunderland
VS
Chelsea
Sunderland win
37%
Draw
24%
Chelsea win
39%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.8
Expected shots
12 – 17
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Sunderland and Chelsea finish within a few points of each other (37% vs 39%), with the draw at 24%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).