Premier League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Brighton
VS
Brentford
Brighton win
68%
Draw
20%
Brentford win
12%
Expected goals
2.3 – 0.8
Expected shots
20 – 9
Match analysis
Brighton dominates this matchup: 68% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 12% for Brentford. Brighton frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 51% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).