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Genoa vs AC Milan prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)

Genoa
VS
AC Milan
Genoa win
14%
Draw
21%
AC Milan win
65%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.1
Expected shots
9 – 17

Match analysis

AC Milan dominates this matchup: 65% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 13% for Genoa. AC Milan frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 48% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).

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