Premier League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Crystal Palace
VS
Liverpool
Crystal Palace win
10%
Draw
15%
Liverpool win
75%
Expected goals
0.9 – 2.8
Expected shots
5 – 25
Match analysis
Liverpool dominates this matchup: 75% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Crystal Palace. Liverpool frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 58% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).