Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Rennes
VS
Lille
Rennes win
56%
Draw
24%
Lille win
20%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Expected shots
14 – 14
Match analysis
Rennes comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but Lille finds a way in 20% of simulations. Rennes frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).