Serie A · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 14:00 (UK time)
Monza
VS
Atalanta
Monza win
36%
Draw
25%
Atalanta win
39%
Expected goals
1.6 – 1.6
Expected shots
9 – 21
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Monza and Atalanta finish within a few points of each other (36% vs 39%), with the draw at 25%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).