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Napoli vs Lazio prediction

Serie A · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 11:30 (UK time)

Napoli
VS
Lazio
Napoli win
36%
Draw
25%
Lazio win
39%
Expected goals
1.5 – 1.6
Expected shots
17 – 10

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Napoli and Lazio finish within a few points of each other (36% vs 39%), with the draw at 25%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).

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