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Sunderland vs Brighton prediction

Premier League · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (UK time)

Sunderland
VS
Brighton
Sunderland win
35%
Draw
23%
Brighton win
42%
Expected goals
2.5 – 2.6
Expected shots
13 – 23

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Sunderland and Brighton finish within a few points of each other (35% vs 42%), with the draw at 23%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:10 (UK time).

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