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SC Paderborn 07 vs Hamburger SV prediction

Bundesliga · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 14:30 (UK time)

Final score: SC Paderborn 07 1 – 0 Hamburger SV

The outcome rated most likely (a SC Paderborn 07 win, 50%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

SC Paderborn 07
VS
Hamburger SV
SC Paderborn 07 win
50%
Draw
25%
Hamburger SV win
25%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.2
Expected shots
22 – 13

Match analysis

SC Paderborn 07 comes out on top in most scenarios (50% win rate), but Hamburger SV finds a way in 24% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 14:21 (UK time).

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