Bundesliga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)
SC Freiburg
VS
Union Berlin
SC Freiburg win
87%
Draw
9%
Union Berlin win
4%
Expected goals
3.5 – 0.7
Expected shots
24 – 9
Match analysis
SC Freiburg dominates this matchup: 87% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 4% for Union Berlin. SC Freiburg frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 70% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).