The outcome rated most likely (a Bayern München win, 53%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
SC Freiburg
Bayern MünchenBayern München comes out on top in most scenarios (53% win rate), but SC Freiburg finds a way in 24% of simulations. Bayern München frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 40% of runs).
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 15:51 (UK time).
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