Ligue 2 · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (UK time)
Saint Etienne
VS
Rodez
Saint Etienne win
84%
Draw
11%
Rodez win
5%
Expected goals
3.5 – 1.0
Expected shots
17 – 9
Match analysis
Saint Etienne dominates this matchup: 84% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 5% for Rodez. Saint Etienne frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 76% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:11 (UK time).