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Saint Etienne vs Nantes prediction

Ligue 2 · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Final score: Saint Etienne 1 – 0 Nantes

The outcome rated most likely (a Saint Etienne win, 81%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Saint Etienne
VS
Nantes
Saint Etienne win
81%
Draw
12%
Nantes win
7%
Expected goals
3.2 – 0.9
Expected shots
16 – 11

Match analysis

Saint Etienne dominates this matchup: 80% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 7% for Nantes. Saint Etienne frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 63% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 18:51 (UK time).

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