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Rennes vs Strasbourg prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Final score: Rennes 3 – 0 Strasbourg

The outcome rated most likely (a Rennes win, 56%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.

Rennes
VS
Strasbourg
Rennes win
56%
Draw
24%
Strasbourg win
20%
Expected goals
1.9 – 1.1
Expected shots
19 – 15

Match analysis

Rennes comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but Strasbourg finds a way in 20% of simulations. Rennes frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 42% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 15:21 (UK time).

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