La Liga · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 15:15 (UK time)
Real Sociedad
VS
Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad win
44%
Draw
25%
Rayo Vallecano win
31%
Expected goals
1.7 – 1.4
Expected shots
16 – 15
Match analysis
Real Sociedad holds a real edge (44% vs 31%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (25%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).