La Liga · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Final score: Real Sociedad 2 – 1 Levante
The outcome rated most likely (a Real Sociedad win, 47%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Real Sociedad
VS
Levante
Real Sociedad win
47%
Draw
23%
Levante win
30%
Expected goals
2.0 – 1.6
Expected shots
17 – 12
Match analysis
Real Sociedad holds a real edge (48% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (23%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 16:36 (UK time).