Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: Real Sociedad 1 – 2 Bournemouth
The outcome rated most likely (a Bournemouth win, 35%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Real Sociedad
VS
Bournemouth
Real Sociedad win
32%
Draw
33%
Bournemouth win
35%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.3
Expected shots
10 – 21
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 September at 19:06 (UK time).