Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Final score: OFI 2 – 0 1899 Hoffenheim
The outcome rated most likely (a OFI win, 48%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
OFI
VS
1899 Hoffenheim
OFI win
48%
Draw
25%
1899 Hoffenheim win
27%
Expected goals
2.3 – 1.8
Expected shots
11 – 25
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 September at 17:06 (UK time).