Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)
Final score: Celtic 1 – 3 Ferencvarosi TC
The outcome rated most likely (a Ferencvarosi TC win, 60%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Celtic
VS
Ferencvarosi TC
Celtic win
20%
Draw
20%
Ferencvarosi TC win
60%
Expected goals
1.8 – 2.9
Expected shots
20 – 19
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 September at 19:06 (UK time).