Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026 at 17:45 (UK time)
Final score: Levski Sofia 0 – 1 Red Bull Salzburg
The model gave a Red Bull Salzburg win only 39%. At 39%, an outcome happens about 39 times in 100: that is what a probability means.
Levski Sofia
VS
Red Bull Salzburg
Levski Sofia win
39%
Draw
22%
Red Bull Salzburg win
39%
Expected goals
2.4 – 2.4
Expected shots
12 – 21
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 17 September at 17:06 (UK time).