Real Madrid vs Villarreal prediction

La Liga · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 20:00 (UK time)

Real Madrid

VS

Villarreal

Real Madrid win

71%

Draw

18%

Villarreal win

11%

Match analysis

Real Madrid dominates this matchup: 71% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 11% for Villarreal. Real Madrid frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 60% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:11 (UK time).

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