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Napoli vs AS Roma prediction

Serie A · Saturday, 24 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)

Final score: Napoli 3 – 3 AS Roma

The model gave a draw only 28%. At 28%, an outcome happens about 28 times in 100: that is what a probability means.

Napoli
VS
AS Roma
Napoli win
31%
Draw
28%
AS Roma win
41%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.4
Expected shots
11 – 20

Match analysis

Genuinely open contest: Napoli and AS Roma finish within a few points of each other (31% vs 41%), with the draw at 28%.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 24 October at 16:21 (UK time).

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