Premier League · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 17:30 (UK time)
Manchester United
VS
Tottenham
Manchester United win
67%
Draw
23%
Tottenham win
10%
Expected goals
2.2 – 0.9
Expected shots
22 – 14
Match analysis
Manchester United dominates this matchup: 67% of the 50,000 simulations end in their win, against just 10% for Tottenham. Manchester United frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 48% of runs).
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:11 (UK time).