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Manchester United vs Aston Villa prediction

Premier League · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 16:30 (UK time)

Manchester United
VS
Aston Villa
Manchester United win
30%
Draw
28%
Aston Villa win
42%
Expected goals
1.2 – 1.4
Expected shots
14 – 16

Match analysis

Aston Villa holds a real edge (42% vs 30%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:04 (UK time).

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