Ligue 1 · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)
Lorient
VS
Paris FC
Lorient win
35%
Draw
33%
Paris FC win
32%
Expected goals
1.3 – 1.2
Expected shots
8 – 17
Match analysis
Genuinely open contest: Lorient and Paris FC finish within a few points of each other (35% vs 32%), with the draw at 33%.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:11 (UK time).