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Lille vs Le Havre prediction

Ligue 1 · Saturday, 10 October 2026 at 16:15 (UK time)

Lille
VS
Le Havre
Lille win
56%
Draw
29%
Le Havre win
15%
Expected goals
1.7 – 0.8
Expected shots
21 – 11

Match analysis

Lille comes out on top in most scenarios (56% win rate), but Le Havre finds a way in 15% of simulations. Lille frequently takes control before the break (leading at half-time in 44% of runs).

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 3 October at 01:11 (UK time).

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