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Lens vs Marseille prediction

Ligue 1 · Sunday, 8 November 2026 at 19:45 (UK time)

Lens
VS
Marseille
Lens win
54%
Draw
25%
Marseille win
21%
Expected goals
1.8 – 1.0
Expected shots
24 – 9

Match analysis

Lens comes out on top in most scenarios (54% win rate), but Marseille finds a way in 21% of simulations.

How these numbers are calculated

The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 1 November at 00:05 (UK time).

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