Serie A · Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 17:00 (UK time)
Final score: Lecce 0 – 2 Juventus
The outcome rated most likely (a Juventus win, 48%) happened. One match proves nothing: a model is judged over hundreds.
Lecce
VS
Juventus
Lecce win
24%
Draw
28%
Juventus win
48%
Expected goals
1.0 – 1.5
Expected shots
7 – 25
Match analysis
Juventus holds a real edge (48% vs 24%), yet no outcome reaches 50%: the draw (28%) stays a live option.
How these numbers are calculated
The match is simulated 50,000 times from both teams' recent statistics (goals, shots, form, absences, line-ups when announced). Each percentage is the share of simulations in which the outcome happens: these are probabilities, not certainties. Last updated 25 October at 16:21 (UK time).